Live results · simulation

The bot, running right now — every order, wins and losses

These numbers come straight from the same Market Edge Smart Helper you can watch in the live view, running 24/7 in simulation. Nothing is filtered or picked: bad days show up exactly like good ones.

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Orders
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Win rate
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Net result
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Running since
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Recent form

Last 24 hours, last 7 days, all time

Short periods swing a lot — a handful of orders can decide a day. That's why all three are shown side by side.

Last 24 h

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Last 7 days

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All time

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By market regime

Results by volatility zone

The bot measures how volatile BTC is before every window and uses different thresholds for calm, normal and fast markets.

Day by day

Net result per day, last 30 days

Green = day closed up, red = day closed down. Europe/Madrid time.

Latest orders

The last 25 orders, as they happened

TimeZoneSide PriceResultNet
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How to read this

Methodology, no fine print

simulation
No real money is used. Orders are simulated at the real best ask of Polymarket's order book at that second, and settled with Polymarket's official outcome for each 5-minute market.
stake
Up to $3 per order. Results are in USDC, net of Polymarket's taker fee.
hedge
When the market turns against a position, the bot can buy the opposite side to limit the loss. An order's result here includes its hedge, if there was one.
unfiltered
Every order the bot placed is counted. Parameters are tuned over time, and older orders are kept as they were.
small sample
Zones with fewer than 30 orders are marked in amber — a percentage over so few orders can change a lot from one day to the next.
update
This page reads the running bot directly and refreshes itself every minute.